Performance Spreadsheets In Chronological Order
This historical record is an overview of the trades (pre-jumps and jump report trades) we have published studies on. 2014 was a beta test year and we went live with the program March 2015. The history shown in the spreadsheet represents the actual move as a best case scenario. The numbers represent what the stock price did – (Jump Zone percentage over a 24 hour period) following the event, how we called it, as well as a virtual P&L in a trading account for the 5/5 strategy. This data is for informational purposes and does not reflect the outcome of actual trade results using real money. Your results will vary. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS. (Please read the trade rules and the disclaimer below). To find out more about the strategy visit the strategy page
2016: 1071% - 66% Win Ratio
2017: 1,664% - 76% Win Ratio
2018: 3000% -85% Win Ratio?
(each trade is recorded and entered into the spreadsheet represented here – scroll through the year/month tab below)
Trading Rules, Risk Factors, Etc
NOTES: Trading is risky and this strategy is not easy even though it may seem so at first glance. These are volatile events and market and limit orders do not always get filled at the price intended., especially in after-market hours. Depending on your broker the price can move past your stops, and with low volume may not get get filled at all until the next day. This is part of the risks involved in trading. This strategy is high risk – and you should not do it unless you are a skilled trader and understand all the risks involved. About 20% of the trades have some nuance or change to them that cannot be shown in detail on the spreadsheet, other than our note of the change. Pro members are made aware of published updates in the trajectory data based on their access level, which may come from a last-minute tweet or update in the trade room. The target data could reveal a last minute change to our trajectory report, or update made in the trade room a few minutes before a news release or some other note to the event since the report was initially published. When you see a notation on the performance sheet it means we altered the schedule based on new intelligence or circumstances beyond the Jump Report data. Not all traders may receive this, but its what we are following internally. This is the notational key we use: M= multiple trades initiated. R= reversal of trade direction due to last minute intelligence data – announced in trade room and/or tweeted 30 minutes prior to trade action. S = a “snap trade” that we worked and traded last minute only posted in the trade room. N= null. a no trade action due to mixed data or last minute updates that increase risk. U=updated trajectory analysis tweeted or posted in trade room.
JUMP TRADES: When the target hits 5% on the jump (up or down) that constitutes an outcome on the trading direction (unless otherwise noted in the Report or in the trade room. – (e.g. we may have announced a whipsaw, or multi-directional trajectory which does happen on some of the trade outcomes, a no-trade, or even a reversal). Once the 5% (with-in a 10% variance) is reached – the peak or valley following the 5% move is then calculated as the top or the bottom for position close purposes and the last candle before market close as the official open position. This is what we call the “jump zone”. If the target stock price does not move 5% either way and is more of a sideways trade, and it reported after market close, we evaluate the price action the following trading session in the morning and will narrow and close the position within the first hour after market open, based on best case performance. If the direction favors our data and is in profit (even if less than the 5%) we consider the trade a win. If it is closed at a loss no matter how small we will count it as a loser trade. For professional traders the decision to stay in a trade varies. It may be prudent to stay in for hours or even days longer, or cut your losses sooner. then how StockJumpers may trade it This is always a personal decision. Our rule is for tracking performance and having a standard mechanical trading rule that is hard and fast for accounting purposes. All trade results are based on our opinions and do not constitute trading advice. We may or may not trade any particular stock pick we express an opinion about and may alter our opinion’s based on actual outcomes or trade it differently than the views we express. All decisions to trade any of these stock picks, you make as self-directed trader based on your own research and experience regardless of StockJumpers opinion’s or how we may choose to trade.
PERFORMANCE CRITERIA: The Direction Call: Is the overall trajectory that StockJumpers forecast as the market reaction to the catalyst event. The data is published in the form of a Jump Report and is updated at market close. We post our final trajectory analysis and the possible depth of the move in the trade room (accessible to PRO members) just before market close, and then track the move post release. Occasionally we will report a no trade or even reverse our original position based on new data. A no-trade is reflected as a “NULL” in the performance results. Jump Zone: is a way to measure the total potential move over a 24 hour period peak to valley, taking the high and the low and calculating the delta, as a “what if” measurement should you experience a maximum loss or gain for the event. “Jump Zone” is used as a measure of performance, but its NOT what a trader will necessarily achieve as a profit or loss from trading these events. Individual performance will vary dependent on many factors including the skill of a Trader. and their exit timing. This summary is merely a way of measuring overall movement of the target performance. 5/5 Strategy: is a “what if” virtual trade based on a percentage of profit or loss as 5% TP and 5% SL, and presumes the market execution for the trade is on an equal risk v. reward basis, and executes at the expected stop or profit. This is a pure hypothetical strategy as stops may not always be executed on your broker platform. The numbers represent a perfect execution which will certainly vary. Accuracy: Though we strive for accuracy in the performance data, there are many variables and it may not always reflect 100% accuracy. We are human and make mistakes. If you see an error in the data please point it out and we will be happy to correct it for the record.
PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS.
RISK FACTORS: The primary risk during extended-hours trading is a lack of liquidity. For example, during the normal trading session (9:30 a.m. ET – 4 p.m. ET), you could place a limit order to sell ABC Company stock for $20 per share. It is possible that thousands of traders may be interested in purchasing your shares at $20. In the extended-hours trading session, however, your same sell order for ABC Company stock at $20 per share may draw no interest, and, in fact, the best offer to buy your shares could be significantly less than what you would receive in the normal session. In addition, even if there is interest to buy your shares at $20 in another market, there may be no linkage between where your order resides and the other market and, therefore, your order may not fill. Also, if the market goes against you and you have placed a stop loss order for say 5% it could blow past your stop and not execute and your position remains open at a considerable loss. With these risk factors as an inherent part of trading after hours should you choose to trade these events, you should practice with small trade allocations or paper trade until you are comfortable with all risks
Winning percentage is a very misunderstood statistic. Newbies tend to think it’s more important than it is and misinterpret what it does mean. How each event is traded is the most important aspect to your individual results which cannot be measured. A conservative trader that properly cuts losers might have several small losers to every successful trade, but can still be profitable if the successful trades gain more than the combined losers. Alternatively a reckless “cowboy trader” might have 90% winning trades and be still be catastrophically unprofitable if the 10% of losers lose big. We publish the above performance as a way of keeping score only. It doesn’t indicate how much profit or loss as a trader you will personally experience. The most important thing you can do to become successful at this (or any trading strategy) is to get the necessary training, and practice over and over until trading each possible scenario becomes second nature. Most novice traders think this is easy – but its not. You are always fighting your personal psychology and each loss is new educational experience. If you lose money on 2 trades in a row you want to quit even though the 3rd trade is a win. If you an uncomfortable losing money on any trade – you should not do this. StockJumpers is not interested in serving members unwilling to learn or who have no appreciation for risk/reward. This strategy is a high risk/high reward system and not for everyone. Read the disclaimer below and discover if its right for you before you proceed.