Note: These spreadsheets cover the 6 year period StockJumpers was open to the public ending with the final month of April 2021 (an 82% win ratio for the first 4 months)
To view specific “Jump” trades scroll through the months and years. These are ALL hypothetical trades based on the directional bias published in a Jump Report that tally the total ‘Jump Zone’ net trade values for each event – from the peak to the valley for all winners and losers. These values do not reflect actual profits or losses which will vary depending on entry and exit timing. Read the trading rules below the report to understand how this ‘Jump Zone’ is calculated.
PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS.
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Trading Rules, Risk Factors, & How We Measure Performance, Etc
TRADING RULES: When the target hits 5% on the jump move (other than a whipsaw move) that constitutes an outcome on the trading direction (unless otherwise noted in the Jump Report or in the Trade Portal. – (e.g. we may have announced a multi-directional trajectory which does happen on some of the trade outcomes, a no-trade, or even a reversal). Once the 5% (with-in a 10% variance) is reached – the peak or valley following the 5% move is then calculated as the top or the bottom for position close purposes and the last candle before market close as the official open position. This is what we call the “jump zone”. If the target stock price does not move 5% either way and is more of a sideways trade, and it reported after market close, we evaluate the price action the following trading session in the morning and will narrow and close the position within the first hour after market open, based on best case performance. If the direction favors our data and is in profit (even if less than the 5%) we consider the trade a win. If it is closed at a loss no matter how small we will count it as a loser trade. For professional traders the decision to stay in a trade varies. It may be prudent to stay in for hours or even days longer, or cut your losses sooner, which may differ from how StockJumpers may trade it The above is our trading rules for tracking performance only and having a standard mechanical system for accounting purposes. Trading is always a personal choice that involves many variables. These spreadsheets present a completely hypothetical trading scenario, and are designed only as one way to view overall performance. Your results will certainly vary. All trade decisions are based on our opinions and do not constitute specific trading advice. We may or may not trade any particular stock we express an opinion about and may alter our opinion’s based on actual outcomes from new data, or we may also trade it differently than the views we express. All decisions to trade any of these stock picks, you are making entirely as a self-directed trader based on your own research and experience, regardless of StockJumpers opinion’s or how we may choose to trade it.
AUTO-TRADE PORTAL: For some StockJumpers members they will be using our software bridge where they can connect their brokerage accounts and based on their risk management settings allow trade signals to pass through and open and close positions on selected events. Not all trade events become Signals and can or will be auto-traded via this software. StockJumpers creates a calendar of events and upon developing data sets for those trades StockJumpers may (or may not) choose to add them as “signals” that get pushed out on the day of the event. If you are a subscriber to the Auto-Trade Portal software you will get a notice and message of the event and be able to opt in or opt out of any trade you wish, or turn off trade signal execution function for your account entirely. The performance outcome for members using this software bridge will vary entirely from the performance spreadsheets presented here based on which events become active trade signals and which events you as a trader decide to accept as part of your self-directed trading plan.
RISK FACTORS: Trading is risky and this strategy requires skill to make a profit. We are trading catalyst market events that are extremely volatile and involve a number of factors that can go wrong, such as orders not always getting filled at the price intended – especially in after-market hours. Depending on your broker the price can move past your stops, and with low volume may not get get filled at all, until the next day. These are just some of the risks involved in trading this strategy. About 20% of the trades have some nuance or change to them that can not be shown in detail on the spreadsheets, other than our note of the change. Pro members are made aware of published updates in the trajectory data based on their access level, which may come from a last-minute messages or updates in the trade room. The target data could reveal a last minute change to our trajectory report, or update made in our trade room a few minutes before a news release or some other note to the event since the report was initially published. We often will publish updates 30 minutes before markets close, so you should always check in for these updates. When you see a notation on the performance sheet it means we modified some aspect of the trade plan before or after the event. Not all traders may receive these updates, but its what we are following internally. This is the notional key we use: M= multiple trades initiated. R= reversal of trade direction due to last minute intelligence data – announced in trade room and/or tweeted 30 minutes prior to trade action. S = a “snap trade” that we worked and traded last minute only posted in the trade room. N= null. a no trade action due to mixed data or last minute updates that increase risk. U=updated trajectory analysis tweeted or posted in trade room.
PRIMARY RISK FACTOR IN TRADING AFTER MARKET EVENTS: The primary risk during extended-hours trading is a lack of liquidity. For example, during the normal trading session (9:30 a.m. ET – 4 p.m. ET), you could place a limit order to sell ABC Company stock for $20 per share. It is possible that thousands of traders may be interested in purchasing your shares at $20. In the extended-hours trading session, however, your same sell order for ABC Company stock at $20 per share may draw no interest, and, in fact, the best offer to buy your shares could be significantly less than what you would receive in the normal session. In addition, even if there is interest to buy your shares at $20 in another market, there may be no linkage between where your order resides and the other market and, therefore, your order may not fill. Also, if the market goes against you and you have placed a stop loss order for say 5% it could blow past your stop and not execute and your position remains open at a considerable loss. With these risk factors as an inherent part of trading after hours should you choose to trade these events, you should practice with small trade allocations or paper trade until you are comfortable with all risks
PERFORMANCE CRITERIA: The Direction Call: Is the overall trajectory that StockJumpers forecast as the market reaction to the catalyst event. The data is published in the form of a Jump Report and is updated at market close. We post our final trajectory analysis and the possible depth of the move in the trade room (accessible to PRO members) just before market close, and then track the move post release. Occasionally we will report a no trade or even reverse our original position based on new data. A no-trade is reflected as a “NULL” in the performance results. Jump Zone: is a way to measure the total potential move over a 24 hour period peak to valley, taking the high and the low and calculating the delta, as a “what if” measurement should you experience a maximum loss or gain for the event. “Jump Zone” is used as a measure of performance, but its NOT what a trader will necessarily achieve as a profit or loss from trading these events. Individual performance will vary dependent on many factors including the skill of a Trader. and their exit timing. This summary is merely a way of measuring overall movement of the target performance. 5/5 Strategy: is a “what if” virtual trade based on a percentage of profit or loss as 5% TP and 5% SL, and presumes the market execution for the trade is on an equal risk v. reward basis, and executes at the expected stop or profit. This is a pure hypothetical strategy as stops may not always be executed on your broker platform. The numbers represent a perfect execution which will certainly vary. Accuracy: Though we strive for accuracy in the performance data, there are many variables and it may not always reflect 100% accuracy. We are human and make mistakes. If you see an error in the data please point it out and we will be happy to correct it for the record.
Winning percentage is a very misunderstood statistic. Newbies tend to think it’s more important than it is and misinterpret what it does mean. How each event is traded is the most important aspect to your individual results which cannot be measured. A conservative trader that properly cuts loser trades might have several small losers to every successful trade, but can still be profitable if the successful trades gain more than the combined losers. Alternatively a reckless “cowboy trader” might have 90% winning trades and still be catastrophically unprofitable if 10% of the losers – lose big. We publish the above performance as a way of keeping score only. It doesn’t indicate how much profit or loss as a trader you will personally experience. The most important thing you can do to become successful at this (or any trading strategy) is to get the necessary training, and practice over and over until trading each possible scenario becomes second nature. Most novice traders think this is easy – but its not. You are always fighting your personal psychology and each loss is new educational experience. If you lose money on 2 trades in a row you want to quit even though the 3rd trade is a win. If you an uncomfortable losing money on any trade – you should not do this. StockJumpers is not interested in serving members unwilling to learn or who have no appreciation for risk/reward. This strategy is a high risk/high reward system and not for everyone. Read the disclaimer below and discover if its right for you before you proceed.