SportsJumpers - Bet Action
All events have been TRV’d. Optimum bet action posted in red 30 minutes prior to the event. (Shown are the last 10 events)
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XFL: NEW YORK V ST. LOUIS
BET PLAN
NOTES
XFL – NEW YORK GUARDIANS v ST LOUIS BATTLEHAWKS 2/23
SIDE: (NEW YORK +10.5) / MONEYLINE: ( ST. LOUIS -425 ) / O/U: (—)
WIN ON ML – LOSS ON SIDE PICK
We have St Louis To Win. The spread is at -10 which will be reviewed before k/o. The spread is now -10.5 to cover. Data suggests the New York side is the optimum bet at +10.5 – Against the spread.
XFL: HOUSTON V TAMPA
BET PLAN
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XFL – HOUSTON ROUGHNECKS v TAMPA BAY VIPERS 2/22
SIDE: (HOUSTON -7) / MONEYLINE: ( HOUSTON -300) / O/U: (—)
WIN – push on SIDE
We have Houston winning this and they are likely to cover on the side -7, but will work this more before k/o to confirm. Halftime odds are better… -6 for HOUSTON. Opportunity here.
XFL: Houston v LA
BET PLAN
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XFL – LA WILDCATS VS. HOUSTON ROUGHNECKS 2/08
SIDE: (WILDCATS +7) / MONEYLINE: (—) / O/U: (—)
LOSS
Initial data has LA winning. Key data was QB is like Lamar Jackson but most data points to LA especially the mascot. Odd data unconfirmed… Winning team city has a beehive with bees buzzing, and winning team is like a cartoon X-men superhero “Sonic” using sound to defeat its enemy Will re-visit before k/o
XFL: Seattle v DC
BET PLAN
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XFL – SEATTLE DRAGONS VS. DC DEFENDERS 2/08
SIDE: ( DRAGONS +9.5) / MONEYLINE: (—) / O/U: (—)
NO BET
Preliminary has mixed data. The game turns out to be a mess, with both teams scoring a lot of points, and making errors. Its almost like the game gets called for some reason. Data favors Seattle on the side +9.5. What was odd – is that neither team had negative emotions immediately following the game -like they were both happy. hmmmm. No bet until more data.
SUPERBOWL: San Francisco v Kansas City
BET PLAN
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SUPERBOWL – SAN FRANCISCO V. KANSAS CITY 2/02
SIDE: ( Chiefs -1 ) / MONEYLINE: (Chiefs -120) / O/U: (—)
We have the Chiefs to cover on this.. We were originally biased on 49ers but data was all about the Chiefs taking this trophy. We have not worked the Over/Under but may add before k/o
Preliminary data has the Chiefs winning this one. Will work data up to k/o
Today’s session data re-affirms the Chiefs as winners. We will be working this event up to 1pm PST before wagering and post updates till that time. One key data item is that the Chiefs open stronger than normal – which isn’t their style.
Green Bay v San Francisco
BET PLAN
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GREEN BAY PACKERS V. SAN FRAN 49ers 1/19 3:40 PST
SIDE: (49ers -8) / MONEYLINE: (49ers -360) / O/U: (—)
WIN
Preliminary data has the 49ers winning easily. Packers make a lot of mistakes and this may be a win by a significant margin. The current side for 49ers is -8 which is likely to be a win, but will update
Tennessee v Baltimore
BET PLAN
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TENNESSE TITANS V. BALTIMORE RAVENS | 01/11 4:15 PST
SIDE: (Ravens – 9.5) / MONEYLINE: (Ravens – 410) / O/U: (—)
LOSS (this was a bomb)
We have an easy win for Baltimore with Lamar being on his game and “dancing” on the field of play. The question is will they cover the spread at -10. We think so but will update prior to k/o
Minnesota v San Francisco
BET PLAN
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MINNESOTA V. SAN FRANCISCO | 01/11 1:35 PST
SIDE: (—) / MONEYLINE: (49ers -355) / O/U: (—)
WIN
We have a win for 49ers based on data. Vikings play better than anyone realizes and may take an early lead. We are reviewing the spread and it looks like it is under 7 which would make Vikes at +7 the best bet on the side (against the spread). Will update before k/o
Tennessee v New England
BET PLAN
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TENNESSEE TITANS V. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS | 01/04 5:10 PST
SIDE: (PATROITS -4.5) / MONEYLINE: (PATRIOTS -215) / O/U: (—)
LOSS
We have this as a Patriots win, but it may not be an easy one. Key data was winning team has a “red hand”. We bet the ML – but also plan to bet the side with more data to confirm later today.
Ohio v Nevada
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OHIO BOBCATS VS NEVADA WOLF PACK | 01/03 12:30 PST
SIDE: (OHIO -7.5 ) / MONEYLINE: (OHIO -360) / O/U: (—)
*this may be an opportunity to live play and see if the odds improve on the ML
WIN – THE SPREAD WAS BOUGHT DOWN TO -7.5
We have Ohio winning the game. The question is the optimum bet on the spread as the moneyline though seems assured doesn’t pay out much. Will revisit before k/o. UPDATE: We may buy down the side to -5 on this.
Indiana v Tennessee
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INDIANA HOOSIERS VS TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS | 01/02 4:00 PST
SIDE: (TENNESSEE -2.5) / MONEYLINE: (TENNESSEE -167) / O/U: (—)
WIN (Moneyline was the play per the data) Final score 23/22)
Data seems a bit too obvious that Tennessee will win this by a safe margin. Update: Moneyline may be the safer bet with a close score game.
Utah v Texas
BET PLAN
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UTAH UTES VS TEXAS LONGHORNS | 12/31 4:30PST
SIDE: (UTAH-7) / MONEYLINE: (—) / O/U: (—)
Utah may win, but not comfortable with the spread. Betting lite on ML or not at all.
Prelim. data has the Utes winning the game but the optimum bet may be Texas on the spread which is currently at +7. Will work until kick off as well as the O/U
Kansas State v Navy
BET PLAN
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KANSAS STATE VS NAVY | 12/31 12:45 PST
SIDE: (NAVY -1) / MONEYLINE: (—) / O/U: (OVER 53.5)
Win on Side Loss on O/U
Data has Navy winning by a solid margin. The concern here is the betting site have Navy as the home team and all the media has Kansas as the home team, which makes a difference in how the TRV data is analyzed. We used the betting site as the standard which may be wrong.
Cavilers vs Gators
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VIRGINIA CAVALIERS VS FLORIDA GATORS | 12/30 5:00 PST
SIDE: (VIRGINIA +21.5) / MONEYLINE: (—) / O/U: (OV 55)
*We bet lite on the side, but with mixed data this is a better one to sit out.
WIN on SIDE WIN on O/U
Data suggests Gators win, but the Cavaliers do better than anyone expects and may beat the spread which is now at +15 (more than two touchdowns).The O/U may be the better wager or buying more points on the spread as noted. +21.5. Will update before k/o.
49ers vs Seahawks
BET PLAN
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SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS VS SEATTLE SEAHAWKS | 12/29 5:20 PST
SIDE: (—) / MONEYLINE: (49ers -174) / O/U: (—)
WIN
Confidence Level: C+ (this seems more like Seattle loses it… the score may be within 3 or we would do the spread
Steelers vs Ravens
BET PLAN
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PITTSBURG STEELERS VS BALTIMORE RAVENS | 12/29 1:25 PST
SIDE: (RAVENS -1) / MONEYLINE: (—) / O/U: (—)
WIN
Confidence Level: (B-) Ravens is without its main players… but the data suggests a win. (-1 is at -105 which is better than the ML at -115). there was some odd data about Pittsburgh pulling off an upset.
Bears vs Vikings
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CHICAGO BEARS VS MINNESOTA VIKINGS | 12/29 10:00 PST
SIDE: (Vikings +4.5 ) / MONEYLINE: (Vikings +157 ) / O/U: (—)
WIN on SIDE / LOSS on ML
Confidence Level: B+ (this may be a comeback for Minnesota with a new QB.)
Packers vs Vikings
BET PLAN
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GREEN BAY PACKERS VS MINNESOTA VIKINGS | 12/22 5:20 PST
SIDE: (PACKERS +4.5) / MONEYLINE: (—) / O/U: (—)
WIN
Confidence Level: B
by Team Stockjumpers