All posts by : dane spotts

Strange Things are happening today with Netflix…

NetFlix is releasing and woah… expectations are high, the price is high, and this company is soaring as it takes on Hollywood spending 8 billion on content alone this year. Yes that’s 8 billion with a capital “B”.

Today they release their quarterly report and with the USA becoming saturated…its all about international growth. The stock has had quite a run in 2018, starting the year at $196.10 and closing at $311.65 on Friday. As U.S. subscriber growth has slowed, analysts have increasingly focused on international subscriber growth. Historically, Netflix’s first quarter has been a slower one for subscriber additions, although management’s forecast for Q1 2018 would be higher than the first three quarters of 2017, only falling short of Q4 2017’s numbers.

In Q4 2017, net subscriber additions in the U.S. increased by 1.98 million and 6.36 million internationally, totaling 8.3 million. For Q1 2018, Netflix management is forecasting 6.35 million net subscriber additions, 1.45 million from the U.S. and 4.9 million internationally.

Netflix management views its original content as one of the main drivers of subscriber growth. As international subscriber growth has picked up, the company has increasingly produced original series for specific international markets and said it’ll expand this initiative by producing more than 30 international original series this year. For all of 2018, Netflix said it plans to spend $7.5 billion to $8 billion on content. It has also said it is planning on upping its marketing spend to roughly $2 billion in 2018.

What does our magic 8-ball say… BUY or SELL?
Get Your Jump Report Here

Netflix investing $8 Billion in content this year.
This is an amazing company with a full on TV and movie projects scheduled way into the future. Who would have thought they would become a big studio producing such series hits like “Stranger Things” that crushed the Emmy’s .

Get Your ‘NFLX’ Jump Report Here
Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) will be posting its FQ1-18 quarterly earnings results today at close. [NFLX] is expected to post earnings of $.63 per share on revenue of $3689 Million. In the last quarter, the company reported $.41 earnings per share MEETING the analysts’ consensus estimate of $.41 The stock is currently trading at $311.65 per share.

Last 3 Quarters – “Jump Zone” Move: 13.23%, -2.42%, 14.4%

Consensus Estimates: ($.64 whisper) ($.65 estimize) ($.63 wall street)

NFLX- last 4 quarters of earnings releases

Grab your popcorn and meet me in the trade-room. I promise today’s jumper will be more fun than the next episode of House of Cards. See you there.

UPDATE: 4/13   OMG – we got one this week. ELP did (finally) report at 2:30 am (it was an ADR so they never follow the rules) and we nailed the direction. Not our best jump, but we made cool 6% off this dog. So we are off to next week.. where I promise a return of 30% potential or more. 

Nice to be back in the saddle. But remember the secret to making serious coin doing this, is the law of averages. Its a hit or miss business.. BUT if you treat it like a business, you will make a ton of money. If you treat it like gambling, you might as well just give all your money to charity right now. At least – you’ll feel better. 

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What a week. The end of earnings season this quarter went out with a whimper not a bang.

Everything went wrong this week…but we still managed a profit (albiet a tiny one)

Sometimes life just happens. We started out the week with WAGE, and they decided not to report. How come? Cause they fired their CEO, their numbers sucked and there are rumors of fraud. So they postponed and are going to do a Monday morning quarter back sneak.

Our trade on Tuesday was to be HCSG (Healthcare Services Group) which we worked hard and published a very clean Jump Report on. They did not report either.

Then yesterday’s trade Bed Bath and Beyond did report – and they beat big time (exactly as we reported they would) but the stock dropped anyway. If you read our report and were in the trade room we suggested it would do that, and we were not going in until AFTER the drop. But it behaved badly this morning. – it kept going and going down… so no trade here.

Which brings us to today and the oddest Jumper pick we have ever done.

Companhia Paranaense de Energia – COPEL (ELP)

Its an energy company with good jump zones in past quarters. They are scheduled to report today still after market today, but will they? Its iffy. I would not bet on it.

We will be in the trade-room today at 3:30, but don’t count on this one reporting. And its the bottom of the barrel anyway, as we close out earnings season this quarter. Like I said …”out with a whimper”

So wow. A “no-hitter” week. We made money on FAST which was a BMO in the trade room, for those members watching.

But again life happens – while your making other plans (cue John Lennon). It’s part of the game. Its your batting average that matters most because you will never hit home runs every day, and though this week was a total strike-out, next week won’t be.

Here’s the line-up….

Monday – NETFLIX
Teusday – ADTRAN
Wedneday – PIER 1 IMPORTS
Thursday – SKETCHERS

These are good for at least 30% profit… so we will certainly make up for our “no-hitter” week. But it is weird for sure.

Get Your Jump Reports Here

Companhia Paranaense de Energia – COPEL is a small-cap-stock with a market capitalization of USD $1.82 Billion. While investors primarily focus on the growth potential and competitive landscape of the small-cap companies, they end up ignoring a key aspect, which could be the biggest threat to its existence: its financial health. There are always disruptions which destabilize and many a times end an existing industry, and most small-cap companies are the first casualties when such a wave hits.

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (ELP) will be posting its FQ4-17 quarterly earnings results today at close. [ELP] is expected to post earnings of $.19 per share on revenue of $ N/A Million. In the last quarter, the company reported $.42 earnings per share ABOVE the analysts’ consensus estimate of $.23 The stock is currently trading at $7.50 per share.

Last 3 Quarters – “Jump Zone” Move: -6.84%, 6.31%, 5.45%

Consensus Estimates: ($ N/A whisper) ($ N/A estimize) ($ N/A wall street)

Well, lets get in some batting practice next week and knock a few outta the park, shall we?

They say its too cheap. Is BBBY ready for a comeback…. and will it pop today?

Is it a pop or a drop?

This major retailer of products for the home, including bed sheets, bath soaps and beyond to kitchenware peaked in January 2014 with an all-time high of $80.82, Since then, it’s been downhill. shares traded as low as $19.07 on Nov. 7.

StockJumpers has traded them every quarter and made money off the jump zone (mostly down) and today will be the same. But maybe not down.

Here’s why — (from Investopedia)

Analysts expect Bed Bath & Beyond to deliver earnings per share of $1.37 to $1.41 when the company reports today after the closing bell. The key metrics to focus on are same-store sales, margins and guidance for 2018. Does the retailer have an expanding online shopping experience? The stock appears cheap enough to take a risk given the P/E ratio of 5.98. The stock was trading at $21.14 yesterday afternoon, down 3.9% year to date.
We worked the trajectory on this one pretty hard, and like all things in life… its not so simple. Its certainly in correction territory, but good numbers will have it skyrocket with risk on. And this one may have a 15-20% move today. But which way?

Let’s dial in some magic here…

Get Your Jump Report Here

This image looks like one of the more organized stores. The only ones I’ve seen have junk piled high. and you can never find anything. But then – I hate the smell of plastic and soap and standing in line with fat ladies arguing about their coupon redemption. Soooo, let’s see how this billion dollar store does today. Will it be a turn? Or more double digit red? We have the move dialed in today and beyond…

Get Your ‘BBBY’ Jump Report Here

Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (BBBY) will be posting its FQ4-17 quarterly earnings results today at close. [BBBY] is expected to post earnings of $1.41 per share on revenue of $3675 Million. In the last quarter, the company reported $.44 earnings per share ABOVE the analysts’ consensus estimate of $.36 The stock is currently trading at $21.06 per share.

Last 3 Quarters – “Jump Zone” Move: -14.0%, -17.09%, -12.83%

Consensus Estimates: ($1.37 whisper) ($1.43 estimize) ($1.41 wall street)

BBBY- last 4 quarters of earnings releases

Grab some towels and soap and lets clean this one up. Then meet me in the trade room at 3:30 EST.

HCSG: Today we trade the cleaning and snacks company in the medical sector… and we intend to clean house today

Today is Healthcare Services Group Inc, a mid-sized company company with a market capitalization of US$3.20B, that specializes in janitor and other services for hospitals and urgent care centers.

According to three top Motley Fool investors asked to each pick a stock that they believe Wall Street is overlooking today they picked HCSG as one of them. Let’s drill down and find out why, and then look at today’s “jumper” numbers.

This company provides housekeeping and nutritional services to healthcare facilities across the U.S. While its business is as boring as it comes, investors who have held onto this company for the long term have walloped the S&P 500

How has the company pulled this off? The answer is that Healthcare Services Group has a knack for consistently bringing new customers into the fold while simultaneously selling more services to existing ones. That’s a simple, but powerful, combination.

In recent years, the company’s growth has been driven by the company’s dining and nutrition services business. This division grew by 60% last quarter and helped the company post overall revenue growth of 26%.

We think they are good today for a 10% jump in price… but which way?

Get Your Jump Report Here

Might seem like a boring company – but someone has to do this work, and these guys figured out how to do it well, create a great company in the process and make their investors happy. Now to us all that matters is what happens today.

Get Your ‘HCSG’ Jump Report Here
Healthcare Services Group, Inc. (HCSG) will be posting its FQ1-18 quarterly earnings results today at close. [HCSG] is expected to post earnings of $.39 per share on revenue of $504.52 Million. In the last quarter, the company reported $.27 earnings per share BELOW the analysts’ consensus estimate of $.32 The stock is currently trading at $43.13 per share.

Last 3 Quarters – “Jump Zone” Move: -11.71%, -4.69%, 12.22%

Consensus Estimates: ($ N/A whisper) ($.39 estimize) ($.39 wall street)

HCSG – last 4 quarters of earnings releases

So get out those mops, and get in the trade room and lets ring out as much profit from today’s trade as possible.

Wage isn’t reporting today as planned.

This may be a good column to write about why and how all this works, while we reflect on performance and how we make money doing this.
Life is messy business. WAGE CEO was fired and there is a newly disclosed internal investigation into its financial controls, so they are not reporting today… or if they do they will sneak it in because it was leaked it will be really bad. Problems, problems, problems.

But here’s the deal. We LOVE IT. We like problems because it adds up to volatility and creates chaos. We thrive on chaos because we have the tools to make sense of it… and here is the big idea that I want every member reading this to know.

WE ARE TRADERS.

Yep, we trade – we do not invest. So we are interested in catalysts that we can dial in on with our intelligence systems and then profit from the event. I say it alot, and those that have been with me a few years understand it perfectly, but most people don’t – because they are not traders even though they may have a margin account. They are used to buying a few shares of MSFT or GOOG and holding it and waiting for the magic to happen. And they are really happy with 7% a year.

We on the other hand (meaning StockJumpers) scoff at such thinking because we can make that in a few hours assuming we get the direction right. So what’s the point of today’s news. Nothing really – other than life happens and we adapt. A member emailed me this morning asking; “Whats up with WAGE this morning?”

Answer: Life happened. We move on to the next one. Its really that simple.

We can make a tremendous amount of profit with the StockJumpers strategy because we are not attached to anything. I mean it. We are like trading ninja’s that go in with our stealth intell tools and slaughter on the knowledge and then back to our treasure den to count the booty.

Are you brave enough to do this? Of course most are not because it involves risk and most people don’t have stomach for it. They want an easy life and someone else to take risk – or at least someone to blame when things go wrong. I accept this is this the way of life. Its always been this way. More soup for the warriors.

We are StockJumpers — the ninja warriors of the trading world.

As trading season winds down and picks back up NEXT week, we are sharpening our tools and getting ready to invade Wall Street and take what is rightfully ours in silence and without fanfare. The prize is knowing we have the “edge” and we can pounce on whatever opportunities present themselves. And we will indeed.

This is the rest of the weeks line-up…

Healthcare Servcies (HCSG)
Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (BBBY)
Companhia Paranaense de Energia – COPEL (ELP)

Its not like last week… with a 90% Jump Zone profit, but these are still worth trading. BBBY especially will be interesting… and good for 15% at least.

And then next week…earnings season kicks off again with a royal feast of picks to choose from, with — Netflix, Pier 1 and Sketchers for starters. Dump-truck loads of money are ready to come to your driveway and dump off the spoils.

That’s all for today… Tomorrow will be more fun I promise.

THE WEEKS LINE UP IS HERE… (CLICK)
Hey – for you Investors Club members – we JUST issued 3 PRE-JUMP trade signals we think will do well in the next 2 weeks. To grab and trade them go to the Trade Signals page here.

Lets do a ‘Trade Review’ of the week…

We kicked butt again with an almost 90% Jump Zone profits.

Some interesting twists and turns in our trades this week… and I have posted next weeks trades on the upcoming page.

A quick Friday morning quarterbacking on what happened this week… its kinda interesting if you are a “real” trader. Most of you reading this are not… but pay attention any way as you might learn something useful, that can make you a lot of money.

As you know, not all trades unfold the way they are planned. StockJumpers offers an information edge. A powerful one, where we deploy our predictive intelligence tools to do trajectory analysis and dial in the right direction of major catalyst events. Which we call “jumpers”. If you have been tracking our performance over the last few years, you know this is 90% of the game.

BUT – it’s not enough to guarantee profit as you have to manage your emotions and deal with the nuances of the trade. Always those pesky nuances… but it can make you a lot of extra profit if you are skilled enough (meaning – you are professionally trained in how to trade jumpers).

So lets review.

Day 1 – Monday was SWITCH, INC. This was a classic “jumper.” Our trajectory analysis got the move as down. (read the jump report here) and a few moments after they announced… it slammed down about 11%… and then overnight kept going and going and going… for whopping 26% Jump Zone move. Good trade. Slam dunk. Easy profit. Even an idiot could make money on this one. Assuming, of course, you got the direction right. (which we do at StockJumpers more than 80% of the time)

This is a clip of the SWITCH trade.

A classic jumper, it did EXACTLY what we said it would. Here is a link to the Jump Report. Read it. Can you follow that and make money?

Day 2 – Tuesday was a bit more challenging. We traded Dave and Busters Entertainment (PLAY) and in the trade room is was Cloudera, Inc (CLDR). We got that PLAY would be a beat on the main metrics and the stock would go up AFTER an initial dip. Well here is the chart… it did what we forecast but the dip was more than our stop… so what do you do? Most traders take a loss and walk away cause they don’t think like us. If you were in the trade room you saw that we announced we would WAIT FOR THE DIP and then enter at the bottom of it and ride it back up. Now – honestly, how did we know that was going to happen? Its all in the magic sauce – which I will save for another article. Anyway.. not our best trade, but we followed the data and make a nice 8-9% off the move.

The REALLY big deal on Tuesday’s after-market snap trade was Cloudera (CLDR) in the trade-room. If you were there… you watched us call it short and that it was going to be BIG. Ver big. And it was… 41% was the move!!!! Even if you got in when it was sinking 10% you made a lot of money. Rare, but these do happen. We slaughtered on that one. Check it out….

This is a clip of the PLAY trade.

We waited until the dip and went in. This is the value of being a TRADE-ROOM member… as you get to mirror trade and watch us deal with the nuances of the move.

This is a clip of the CLDR trade. (from the trade-room)

This was the biggest snap trade we have ever done. It was a thing of beauty. The move was 41%. Wow.

We also traded Landec Corp for more $$$. click to expand and read the Trade Room notes

Day 3. OK… here is what happened on Wednesday which kinda sucked after all the profit rolling in. We traded NOVAGOLD (NG). We had high hopes for this trade because we traded the pre-jump on it a few weeks ago and our Investors Club members pocketed a cool 13% off it. One of our best pre-jump trades to date. Ok… we ran the trajectory analysis study on NG and we got it short even though we knew they would have good numbers on their release. Why short? Cause we got in the data their costs of operations were higher than expectations. Remember the big money traders, trade on the news of the future – not the now. Anyway… the direction was right our data was good… and it did go down, but it was a whimp trade. Look at the chart. Can you say “whimpy”? Thinly traded and no one cares about it. Well – we thought it was going to be our trade of the week and SWITCH was gonna be the dullard… we were wrong, but our members made money.

This is snap of the NG trade.

This was a total whimp. Went down about 5% post-release and then the next day back to where it started. Probably a break even or a few % … nothing to write home about for sure.

Day 4 – Which brings us to yesterday – Thursday’s PriceSmart (PSMT) the Costco of Latin America, trade. We got an up move after release in our data and it did what we forecast… but we were a bit skiddish of the move… even though they beat and we got out a bit too soon on our trade room trade. Here is the chart the next day… and it “evolved” into a very sweet 12% move. Cha-Ching. Our trade-room only snap trade was WD-40 the lube-guys and it also did what we forecast as a short and made 6%.

This is a clip of the PSMT trade.

See that little crappy green star? That’s where we said the price would go the next day. It hit a high (right there) of 93.55 for a total move of 12%.

A good trade by any measure even though we were skittish

NEXT WEEKS LINE UP IS HERE… (CLICK)
So that’s the Friday trade review of the week. Not easy trades really (except for Monday’s Switch… BUT I ask you this simple question. Based on the above can you make money with that information edge – or is all this beyond your pay grade?

The reason I ask is cause most people CANNOT DO THIS. Too stupid you say? No, too scared for one, but really the real reason is its outside their paradigm. People are trained to buy a stock and hold it.. not trade white-knuckle ride jumpers like we do. Those that do “get it” though (ad there are not many… REALLY get it. I’ve said this before and so has Ray in this forum. There is a true reason why 1% of the world has all the money. If you’ve read this far.. you know the answer. And its not cause they were born with a silver spoon in their mouths – though some were… its cause they understand risk and yes they have the smarts to act on it.

The sheeples never will.. and the wolves will eat them. Sorry to sound harsh, but its the hard-core truth. Its how its always been and always will be. OK, enough sermon. Now, what about next week… Think you can pocket 20-40% profit. Let me show you how. This is the line-up Go to the upcoming page and grab your jump reports (when published next week.. and get into the trade room and make some serious coin.

Oh and don’t miss out on the pre-jump trade signals. I just posted three new ones, and we will make AT LEAST 15% off these in the next 2 weeks. chaaaa- ching.

See you in the Trade Room.

Hey – for you Investors Club members – we JUST issued 3 PRE-JUMP trade signals we think will do well in the next 2 weeks. To grab and trade them go to the Trade Signals page here.